Operations Management: Managing Global Supply Chains
Chapter Outline
Carefully crafted outlines follow the structure of each chapter, providing an essential reference and teaching tool.
See pages: 490-459
Operations Profile: Challenges in Forecasting Demand for L.L. Bean’s Famous “Duck Boots,”
Introduction to Forecasting and Its Applications
The Characteristics of Good Forecasts
Qualitative Versus Quantitative Forecasting Methods
Qualitative Methods
Quantitative Methods
Types of Quantitative Methods: Time Series Forecasting
Short-Term Time Series Forecasting Methods
Operations Profile: Using Forecasting to Solve Hospital Staffing Challenges
Medium- to Long-Term Time Series Forecasting Methods
Techniques for Evaluating Cyclical Variations
Types of Quantitative Methods: Causal or Associative Methods
Measuring and Monitoring the Accuracy of Forecasting Methods
Mean Absolutes Deviation (MAD)
Cumulative Sum Error (CSE) and Bias
Mean Squared Error (MSE)
Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE)
Monitoring and Controlling Forecasts
Consider This 13.1: Forecasting Using Excel
Forecasting for Supply Chains
Ethical Issues
Chapter Summary
Key Terms
Discussion and Review Questions
Solved Problems
Problem
Case Study 13.1: Forecasting Ticket Demand for the Super Bowl
Case Study 13.2: Ethical Forecasting: If You Torture the Numbers Long Enough, They Can Tell You Anything!
Video Case
Critical Thinking Exercises